Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-09 0.001735 0.001844 0.001957 0.002082 0.002218 0.002361 0.002522
2025-03-16 0.001578 0.001732 0.001897 0.002088 0.002304 0.002542 0.002824
2025-03-23 0.001452 0.001631 0.001830 0.002067 0.002345 0.002662 0.003052
2025-03-30 0.001362 0.001559 0.001784 0.002059 0.002391 0.002781 0.003277
2025-04-06 0.001276 0.001485 0.001726 0.002030 0.002404 0.002854 0.003445
2025-04-13 0.001201 0.001416 0.001670 0.001996 0.002405 0.002910 0.003588
2025-04-20 0.001117 0.001332 0.001590 0.001924 0.002354 0.002893 0.003635
2025-04-27 0.001085 0.001309 0.001582 0.001943 0.002415 0.003020 0.003872
2025-05-04 0.001066 0.001301 0.001592 0.001983 0.002503 0.003185 0.004169
2025-05-11 0.001057 0.001305 0.001615 0.002040 0.002616 0.003387 0.004527
2025-05-18 0.001031 0.001285 0.001607 0.002055 0.002671 0.003513 0.004782
2025-05-25 0.000989 0.001243 0.001568 0.002025 0.002663 0.003548 0.004907
2025-06-01 0.000944 0.001197 0.001526 0.001993 0.002657 0.003594 0.005066
2025-06-08 0.000913 0.001169 0.001505 0.001991 0.002692 0.003702 0.005326
2025-06-15 0.000877 0.001133 0.001472 0.001969 0.002699 0.003766 0.005522
2025-06-22 0.000849 0.001105 0.001450 0.001961 0.002723 0.003859 0.005768
2025-06-29 0.000816 0.001070 0.001415 0.001933 0.002716 0.003901 0.005933
2025-07-06 0.000783 0.001035 0.001379 0.001901 0.002700 0.003928 0.006074
2025-07-13 0.000742 0.000985 0.001321 0.001834 0.002627 0.003861 0.006049
2025-07-20 0.000729 0.000976 0.001320 0.001852 0.002686 0.004008 0.006403
2025-07-27 0.000723 0.000976 0.001332 0.001889 0.002778 0.004212 0.006875
2025-08-03 0.000722 0.000982 0.001353 0.001943 0.002898 0.004470 0.007466
2025-08-10 0.000710 0.000972 0.001350 0.001957 0.002953 0.004622 0.007871